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US Economic Service

Plan with confidence

Where are your most promising US market opportunities? Where will they be next year? In 30 years?

This service provides up-to-date analysis of the US economy along with 10- and 30-year forecasts, helping organizations invest and manage wisely. Powered by our US macroeconomic model, our forecasts cover more than 2,000 concepts, offering the most detailed, commercially available view of the US economy. Our consistent record for forecasting accuracy, integrated global perspective and unrivaled industry experience set us apart from the competition. You gain direct analyst access, alternate scenarios and powerful data delivery platforms and access tools to:

  • Identify growth markets and key product drivers
  • Benchmark sales and revenue projections
  • Assess business impact of policy shifts
  • Factor uncertainty into strategic plans
  • Maximize return on investment

What’s Included

Analysis

Daily Commentary
Analysis of breaking economic, political and financial developments, including key data releases

Weekly Reports
Economic developments to monitor, as well as financial markets recap, data release review and our outlook for next week’s data releases

Monthly Reports

  • Monthly Analysis: Focusing on the 5-year outlook (with forecast data for 10 years) reviewing short-term changes that will influence the business environment
  • US Executive Summary: Examination of the overall economy’s direction, historical and forecast data for key indicators, and risks and alternative scenarios
  • Flash Report: Forecast highlights, released prior to the more detailed US Executive Summary
  • US Financial Report: Five-year interest rate forecast, with high/low scenarios and a credit review
  • US Cycle Monitor Updates: Recession barometer and growth indicator index
Data & Forecasts

Short- & Long-Term US Economic Forecasts
10- and 30-year forecasts for 2000+ concepts with access to forecast database. 10-year forecasts (updated monthly) and 30-year forecasts (updated quarterly)

Financial Sector-Focused Forecast
Near-term outlook for the economic concepts tracked by financial institutions or chief financial officers

Workflow Tools

Leverage IHS Connect, our online delivery platform, for fast, easy access to analysis and historical data and forecasts. Our intuitive interface and workflow tools allow you to:

  • Access analysis and data in a single search
  • Locate breaking news that will have immediate impact on your organization
  • Customize and format data with relevant indices
  • Save search criteria for routine data retrieval tasks
  • Leverage presentation-ready graphs
  • Refresh saved content automatically
  • Export content to Excel, PDF, PPT
Member Privileges

Analyst Access
On-demand access to more than 150 economists

Webcasts
Email invitations to quarterly IHS Economics webcasts hosted by our US economists and analysts

Global Conferences
Invitations to IHS conferences, providing direct interaction with experts and peer networking opportunities


Solve your business challenge

ChallengeSolution
I need to brief executives and peers on economic trends impacting my organization.Get daily, weekly, monthly updates on all economic developments and key data releases, and attend quarterly webcasts on the latest economic events and trends.
I need to quickly contribute to my company’s annual business plan and update the C-Suite on critical economic changes that could impact business plans.Access concise monthly summaries, preformatted presentations, charts and graphs.
I need a forecast that I can trust and justify to senior management.Rely on our industry-acclaimed US Macro Model, which features more than 2,000+ equations, as well as our award-winning forecasts, named most accurate for 2013 by Consensus Economics.
I need to identify risks to prepare our strategic plans for a range of alternative outcomes.Assess baseline, optimistic and pessimistic scenarios for short-, medium-, and long-term forecasts.
I need to size markets and set sales, revenue and growth targets using an accurate benchmark.Leverage 10- and 30-year forecasts for 2000+ concepts, including sector analysis.
When faced with a timely decision, I need objective, industry-specific expertise.Email our team of 150+ economists directly for a fast response.
I need impartial advice on future financial conditions.Leverage our comprehensive interest rate forecasts.

Forecast Coverage

Short-Term Forecast
  • GDP expenditure, volume and price components
  • Detailed consumer spending by sector
  • Business investment (equipment, software, structures) by sector
  • Inventory accumulation by sector
  • Housing and construction
  • Government spending (federal, state, and local)
  • Exports and imports
  • Prices and wages
  • Financial market indicators
  • Energy prices, production and usage
  • Industrial production by sector
  • Balance of payments by major category, international investment position
  • Employment by sector
  • GDP, GNP, national income and its distribution
  • Personal income and corporate profits
  • Household wealth, debt and financial obligations
  • Federal, state and local budget balances
  • Motor vehicle sales
  • Productivity and labor costs
Long-Term Forecast
  • GDP expenditure, volume and price components
  • Detailed consumer spending by sector
  • Business investment (equipment, software, structures) by sector
  • Inventory accumulation by sector
  • Housing and construction
  • Government spending (federal, state, and local)
  • Exports and imports
  • Prices and wages
  • Financial market indicators
  • Energy prices, production and usage
  • Industrial production by sector
  • Balance of payments by major category, international investment position
  • Employment by sector
  • GDP, GNP, national income and its distribution
  • Personal income and corporate profits
  • Household wealth, debt and financial obligations
  • Federal, state and local budget balances
  • Motor vehicle sales
  • Productivity and labor costs
Financial Sector-Focused Forecast
  • Federal Reserve policy
  • Economic and inflation trends
  • Equity and credit markets
  • Deposit institutions
  • Treasury yield curves
  • Money, capital markets, mortgage and consumer rates
  • Cost of funds
  • Household, business and government balance sheets

About the US Macro Model

Underpinning each of our forecasts, the US Macro Model embodies nearly 2,000 variables and more than 1,500 equations that track virtually every economic activity. Updated monthly.

Capabilities
  • Construct alternative scenarios, including those consistent with your own organization’s view
  • Choose from 2,000 economic, financial and business concepts
  • Measure change in the economy's composition
  • Incorporate short-run aggregate demand and long-term aggregate supply into equations
  • Get monthly 10-year forecast and semi-annual 30-year forecast updates

Industry Success Stories

Events


Blog Feed

Aug 14

Video: Facing the construction labor challenge in the chemical industry

Interview of Edward Glatzer on the construction labor challenge in the chemical industry. Interview Transcript What is the outlook for US construction labor in the next few years? We're all aware of the heightened level of activity in the petrochemical industry, both new capacity and expansions, first started by shale and..more

Aug 13

Mapping the geopolitics of lower oil prices

IHS Quarterly sat down with IHS Senior Vice President Carlos Pascual, former US ambassador to Ukraine and Mexico and founder of the State Department’s Bureau of Energy Resources, to discuss the global political and economic implications of the decline in oil prices. IHS Energy is projecting the price per barrel of Dated Brent Crude will have bottomed out ..more

Aug 11

Cybersecurity: Building an arsenal to defend against invisible enemies

Note: This is an updated version of the original article that was first posted in June 2015. With the proliferation of interconnected devices and virtually anything of import accessible from the internet, the threat from cyberattacks is ever present. What cybersecurity strategies do global companies and governments need to ad..more

Twitter Feed

Aug 31

China is still a growth market over the long haul even if the pace of growth slows http://t.co/zX6VVcnnFc

Aug 31

Video: Rajiv Biswas explains how recent market moves have affected the Indian market http://t.co/XEC1wFjcd8

Aug 31

Will your fleet be compliant? Are you willing to pay noncompliant penalties or carbon credits? See how VPaC can help http://t.co/bkJ3uBbX2k

Enjoy a no-risk trial of the US Economic Service
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