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Long-term Planning and Scenarios

Position yourself for success in times of global uncertainty

Do you need to anticipate long-term global and regional impact on demand and production?

Available for both light vehicles and medium/heavy commercial vehicles, these scenarios provide narratives and associated quantitative analyses that outline potential futures for the automotive industry over a 25 year forecast horizon. With insight on how macroeconomics, geopolitics, government policy, and trends in energy effect growth, environmental policies, trade, security, consumer choice, and technology, you can:

  • Anticipate consumer, businesses and government actions
  • Test specific decisions against alternative futures
  • Set contingency plans under widely varying conditions
  • Grasp the effect of regional development on demand/production
  • Develop long-term business strategies

What’s Included

At the heart of the service are three distinct scenarios. Each scenario provides a narrative and associated quantitative analyses for the next 25 years.

Scenario Types

Rivalry
Our base case scenario: Increased competition in energy and geopolitics

Autonomy
Technology and society drive fundamental change

Vertigo
World loses its sense of stability and balance

Issues
  • Impact of wealth in emerging economies
  • Carbon emission targets and fallout
  • Shifts from high debt to sustainable debt
  • Transformation to a low-carbon energy future
  • Alternative fuels/vehicles’ impact on security
  • Impact poor urban air quality and worsening congestion has on policy, vehicle sales, and consumer choice
Related Products

The Long-Term Planning and Scenarios Service complements our 7- and 12-year Sales, Production and Powertrain Forecasts

How will cities and cars adapt to changing motorization trends?

City motorization peaks when urbanization rates reach 80%, but congestion is just one of many factors that could affect future mobility trends.

Click sections below to explore current trends.

Industry Success Stories

Events


Follow the IHS Automotive Blog

Jun 28

VW unveils sixth-generation Polo

VW has launched the latest iteration of its classic B-segment hatchback as it looks to increase profitability and continue rehabilitating the brand's image. IHS Markit perspective Significance: The VW passenger car brand has publicly debuted the sixth generation of its Polo B-segment passenger car at a media reception at Wolfsburg. Implications: The car will be..more

Jun 27

Peugeot reveals new pick-up

Peugeot has revealed the new Pick Up, a double-cab vehicle for the compact pick-up truck category in sub-Saharan Africa. IHS Markit Perspective Significance: Groupe PSA's Peugeot brand has revealed a new double-cab compact pick-up truck for African markets known as Pick Up. Implications: The announcement of the Pick Up fulfils another of the commitments that PSA mad..more

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