Customer Logins

Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. Sign in to the product or service center of your choice.

Top Sites

Long-term Planning and Scenarios

Position yourself for success in times of global uncertainty

Do you need to anticipate long-term global and regional impact on demand and production?

Available for both light vehicles and medium/heavy commercial vehicles, these scenarios provide narratives and associated quantitative analyses that outline potential futures for the automotive industry over a 25 year forecast horizon. With insight on how macroeconomics, geopolitics, government policy, and trends in energy effect growth, environmental policies, trade, security, consumer choice, and technology, you can:

  • Anticipate consumer, businesses and government actions
  • Test specific decisions against alternative futures
  • Set contingency plans under widely varying conditions
  • Grasp the effect of regional development on demand/production
  • Develop long-term business strategies

What’s Included

At the heart of the service are three distinct scenarios. Each scenario provides a narrative and associated quantitative analyses for the next 25 years.

Scenario Types

Rivalry
Our base case scenario: Increased competition in energy and geopolitics

Autonomy
Technology and society drive fundamental change

Vertigo
World loses its sense of stability and balance

Issues
  • Impact of wealth in emerging economies
  • Carbon emission targets and fallout
  • Shifts from high debt to sustainable debt
  • Transformation to a low-carbon energy future
  • Alternative fuels/vehicles’ impact on security
  • Impact poor urban air quality and worsening congestion has on policy, vehicle sales, and consumer choice
Related Products

The Long-Term Planning and Scenarios Service complements our 7- and 12-year Sales, Production and Powertrain Forecasts

How will cities and cars adapt to changing motorization trends?

City motorization peaks when urbanization rates reach 80%, but congestion is just one of many factors that could affect future mobility trends.

Click sections below to explore current trends.

Industry Success Stories

Events


Oct 12

RT @IHS_news: Automotive telematics systems revenues to reach $6.7 bil. globally in 2023, nearly tripled from 2016. See more at: https://t.…

Follow the Automotive Blog

Oct 16

VW Group posts record monthly sales result in September

The VW Group posted a very robust set of sales results in September helped by new model additions in the SUV and crossover space. IHS Markit perspective Significance: The Volkswagen (VW) Group has recorded its biggest ever single monthly global sales total with deliveries rising 6.6% y/y to 1.01 million units, according to a company statem..more

Oct 13

Ford sales drop 5% in China during YTD, Lincoln sales up 79% in September

Ford Motor Company and its partners in China have managed to sell a total of 112,902 units in China during September, which the automaker states is "achieving approximately the same volume compared to September 2016". Of the September 2017 total, the Changan Ford passenger vehicle joint venture (JV) has sold 79,700 units, the..more

Oct 12

UK project aims to reduce costs of autonomous vehicle insurance

An autonomous driving project in the UK is looking at reducing the costs of vehicles featuring the technology, reports Autocar. Move UK, which is being supported by Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), Bosch and insurer Direct Line and is being backed by a GBP3.4-million grant from the UK government, is investigating ways to use data generated by ..more

Join the Conversation.
Visit the IHS Automotive Blog
Take me there



Explore

Filter Sort