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Medium- and Long-term Forecast
Country Risk Rating for the United States
President Donald Trump's administration promises to have a major impact on the domestic political and violent risk operating environment, as Republicans maintain majority control of both Congressional houses. Trump campaigned on a domestic platform highlighting economic disaffection, immigration limitations, and an "America First" foreign policy featuring trade protectionism. Although jihadist attack risk remains, radicalized domestic groups and individuals pose a more imminent threat, with prevention efforts growing less effective. Protests, particularly around police-related violence and the Black Lives Matter movement, are increasing. National security drives foreign policy, with China, Iran and Russia featuring prominently.
A note on our risk ratings: IHS Markit derives country risk ratings for 206 countries, based on six separate ratings in each country: Political, economic, legal, tax, operational and security with 22 detailed sub-aggregate risks. These ratings allow you to quantify risk with greater specificity with a scoring system based on a 0.1-10 logarithmic scale. Seven risk bands, from low to extreme, allow you to compare and contrast risk between countries and regions.
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