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Long-term Planning and Scenarios

Position yourself for success in times of global uncertainty

Do you need to anticipate long-term global and regional impact on demand and production?

Available for both light vehicles and medium/heavy commercial vehicles, these scenarios provide narratives and associated quantitative analyses that outline potential futures for the automotive industry over a 25 year forecast horizon. With insight on how macroeconomics, geopolitics, government policy, and trends in energy effect growth, environmental policies, trade, security, consumer choice, and technology, you can:

  • Anticipate consumer, businesses and government actions
  • Test specific decisions against alternative futures
  • Set contingency plans under widely varying conditions
  • Grasp the effect of regional development on demand/production
  • Develop long-term business strategies

What’s Included

At the heart of the service are three distinct scenarios. Each scenario provides a narrative and associated quantitative analyses for the next 25 years.

Scenario Types

Rivalry
Our base case scenario: Increased competition in energy and geopolitics

Autonomy
Technology and society drive fundamental change

Vertigo
World loses its sense of stability and balance

Issues
  • Impact of wealth in emerging economies
  • Carbon emission targets and fallout
  • Shifts from high debt to sustainable debt
  • Transformation to a low-carbon energy future
  • Alternative fuels/vehicles’ impact on security
  • Impact poor urban air quality and worsening congestion has on policy, vehicle sales, and consumer choice
Related Products

The Long-Term Planning and Scenarios Service complements our 7- and 12-year Sales, Production and Powertrain Forecasts

How will cities and cars adapt to changing motorization trends?

City motorization peaks when urbanization rates reach 80%, but congestion is just one of many factors that could affect future mobility trends.

Click sections below to explore current trends.

Industry Success Stories

Events


Follow the Automotive Blog

Nov 17

How mobility is changing the automotive industry - Vlog Part 2

Watch this video log from Tom De Vleesschauwer, Transport and mobility practice leader, as he discusses how new mobility is changing the automotive industry.  In the second video of this two part series, Tom discusses the current vehicle market as it relates to mobility, the evolving history of mobility over the last 10 years, and how ..more

Nov 15

EU BEV, hybrid registrations continue strong growth in Q3 – ACEA

Registrations of battery electric vehicles and hybrid passenger cars in the EU have continued to grow strongly during the third quarter, although they still make up a small fraction of the market. IHS Markit perspective Significance: Registrations of BEVs and hybrid passenger cars in the EU have continued to grow strongly during t..more

Nov 15

Defining the revolution of mobility - Vlog Part 1

Watch this video log from Tom De Vleesschauwer, Transport and mobility practice leader, as he discusses the revolution of mobility and what the future of mobility looks like.  In the first of this two part series, Tom discusses the revolution of mobility, how our new multi-client study, Reinventing the Wheel, is exploring new future mobility dynami..more

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