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Nariman Behravesh, Chief Economist, IHS
Since 2012, global growth has been stuck at around 2.5% a year. Is this the proverbial "new normal" or is this simply the long recovery from a financial crisis? While the developed economies are gradually recovering, there are growing concerns that the emerging world may not be able to return to the rapid growth rates of the 2000s. Low growth is not inevitable, but it will require good macro- and micro-economic policies, including structural reforms.
Sara Johnson, Senior Research Director, IHS Economics
Paul Thomas, Chief Economist, Intel Corporation
In recent years, both actual and potential US economic growth have disappointed, while productivity performance has been dismal. Potential (full-employment) output growth has slowed from over 4% in 2000 to under 2% in 2010-15. The drivers of potential growth - labor supply, capital formation, R&D, innovation, venture finance, and public policy - will be assessed. A strong revival in total factor productivity growth will be key to raising long-run growth and prosperity. Can rapid innovation in the information and communications technology industry spark an acceleration in productivity growth and lift US economic growth above its 2.0-2.5% trend?
Zbyszko Tabernacki, Vice President, IHS Economics & Country Risk
Daniel J. Meckstroth Ph.D, Vice President and Chief Economist, Council Director, Manufacturer's Alliance for Productivity and Innovation
The dramatic appreciation of the dollar against the majority of trading partners’ currencies, as well as the slowdown in demand in key emerging markets, have put significant pressure on the financial performance of US-based multinationals. While the overall impact on the US economy so far has been limited, profits suffered and capital investment plans needed to be curtailed. This panel will explore the implications of the current external environment for short-term business strategies and long term investment plans across a number of industries.
Todd Lee, Senior Director, IHS Economics
Bree Neff, Senior Economist, IHS Economics
David Dollar, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Global Economy and Development, John L. Thornton China Center, Brookings Institution
China's once indomitable economy is struggling, facing enormous cyclical headwinds and structural problems. The Chinese government therefore has to contend with the daunting challenge of balancing stable near-term economic growth and impactful long-term structural reforms. How China sails through these troubled waters will have lasting consequences. This session assesses China's near term outlook, reform progress, and long term growth prospects. The session will also examine how China's downturn and transition will impact Asia.
Kirsten Parker, Senior Director, IHS Country Risk
Ravi Vish, Director and Chief Economist, Economics and Sustainability Group, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, The World Bank
What are the key global drivers of political risk in emerging markets and the implications for businesses and supply chains? There are a range of emergent geopolitical developments that have the potential to shock and shape global markets. We will forecast the outlook for some of these key political risks, including the spread of the Islamic State and the impact on infrastructure and corporate security, the growth of social media and civil unrest in Sub-Saharan Africa and the potential for an 'African Summer', and the political impact of changes in commodity prices.