IHS CERA North American Gas & Power Scenarios

IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios Advisory Service provides alternative scenario testing for businesses engaged in the North American gas and power industry. Members receive three different credible long-term outlooks—IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios to 2035—against which they can compare their current business strategies. This approach enables them, in turn, to reveal the strengths and weaknesses of their plans under diverse conditions. Each spring and fall, IHS CERA hosts a full-day meeting for members to discuss the outcome and strategic responses to their scenario testing. Members also receive throughout the year continuous monitoring and updating of IHS CERA proprietary scenarios, including semiannual data refreshers and alerts regarding impending changes and their implications for specific industry segments.

Membership to the IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios Advisory Service is on an annual basis, during which IHS CERA delivers two research cycles, each culminating in Member Workshops. At scheduled times through the year, members receive the following products and services:

• IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios to 2035
• Semiannual member workshops
• Scenario data updates

IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios enable you to:

• Adopt an integrated long-term outlook for natural gas and power markets across regional markets in North America, incorporating key drivers such as developments in world liquefied natural gas markets, emerging environmental policy and regulatory landscape
• Build a strong foundation for testing–wind tunneling–your company strategy under plausible alternative futures to reveal its strengths and weaknesses
• Challenge the predominant conventional wisdom and, in the process, better equip your organization to deal with uncertainty and change
• Learn from a diverse membership, including the unique perspectives of oil and gas producers, electric and gas utilities, independent generators, coal companies, equipment manufacturers, engineering and construction companies, pipeline companies, energy marketers and financial institutions

• IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios to 2035
  • Summary of critical findings
  • Scenario storylines and timelines
  • Analysis of the strategic implications for selected industry segments
  • Detailed regional supply, demand and price projections for the key wholesale gas and power markets in North America
• Member Workshops
  • Semiannual (spring and fall) member meetings to present, analyze and discuss scenario results (Fall meeting) and to participate in the planning of each year's scenarios preparation (Spring meeting)
• Scenario Data Updates
  • Detailed regional gas and power scenario projections for all scenarios delivered each October and a mid-year update of the business planning scenario delivered in April of each year.

Service Enhancements

• Event Invitations
  • Exclusive client-IHS CERA expert gatherings
  • Reduced fees for seats at IHS CERA spring and fall Executive Roundtables
  • CERAWeek, IHS CERA Executive Conference, held annually in Houston - for an additional fee
• Customized Consulting On Specific Projects
• Interactive Services
  • On-site workshops, conference call briefings and telephone access to IHS CERA experts

IHS CERA North American Gas and Power Scenarios

• The Reference Case
  • The Reference Case assumes steady economic recovery and willingness by stakeholders to compromise on key energy policy issues, allowing investors to move forward with needed infrastructure investments.
• New Social Order
  • In the New Social Order, post–baby boom generations move in a different direction as they reshape their world to manage demographic and economic changes, as well as climate change investment costs. They value social networking and more flexible and local living and working arrangements. New global industrial complexes emerge to meet the challenge of the resource requirements needed to fuel rising living standards around the world.
• Myopia
  • Under the Myopia scenario, the Great Recession leaves a lasting impression on the global economy, leading to a period of New Caution and a reluctance to take on unnecessary risks. Governments around the world reassert their control of the commanding heights of the economy to the detriment of long-term economic growth and the pace of technological change. Slow economic growth leads to a world of low energy and commodity prices and a hesitation to sacrifice reliability and order in favor of bold policy initiatives.

• Daniel D. Mahoney
• Roger J. Goodman
• Robert Ineson
• Robert LaCount
• Lawrence J. Makovich
• Mary Lashley Barcella
• Rob Barnett
• Ayaka Jones
• Gary McDonald
• Marcela Rosas
• John D. Sequeira
• Kristian Bodek
• Teddy Muhlfelder
• Steven S. Evans