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IHS Global Scenarios

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  • Home
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  • IHS CERA Energy Scenarios Advisory Service

IHS Global Scenarios

  • IHS CERA Energy Scenarios Advisory Service
  • IHS Automotive Scenarios Advisory Service
 

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IHS CERA Energy Scenarios Advisory Service

Helping organizations prepare for the future by examining the key forces that will shape the global business environment in the years ahead, and the implications for the energy industry.

  • Overview
    & Benefits
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  • The IHS CERA Energy Scenarios Advisory Service helps organizations prepare for the future by examining the key forces that will shape the global business environment in the years ahead, and the possible implications for the energy industry.

    At the heart of the service is a set of three distinct scenarios called the IHS Global Scenarios Framework. Each scenario provides a qualitative narrative and quantitative analyses addressing possible futures for economic growth and policy, politics, trade, security, technology, the environment, and energy on the world stage to 2030.

    Through ongoing quarterly updates, this service helps you:

    • Develop dynamic and resilient long-term strategic outlooks
    • Test specific decisions against alternative futures 
    • Monitor potential changes in global trends and scenario paths
    • Identify opportunities for strategic advantage

    Drawing on the unrivaled regional and industry expertise and proprietary data of IHS, the service offers an unprecedented outlook on how the global business environment could develop over time.

    Benefits:

    • Enhance the analytical rigour of your planning group to create robust, flexible strategies that will withstand dramatically different market conditions
    • Identify unforeseen risks of entering a new sector or a change in strategic direction
    • Harness the collective insight and capabilities of IHS in a cost-effective format
    • Exchange insights with our experts and your peers at our workshops
    • Benchmark strategic assumptions
    • Follow global long-term megatrends impacting your organization's future
    • Complement your existing macroeconomic forecasts by identifying game changers and plans B and C driven by a range of factors
    • Enhance your organization's competitive edge by recognizing the early signposts that indicate a need for strategic review
    • Use qualitative and quantitative outputs as valuable inputs into your planning
    • Bi-annual Interactive Roundtable Workshops in North America and Europe (Q2 & Q4)
    • Quarterly update of Scenarios Signposts
    • Quarterly update of Key Data Elements (5-year outlooks for select fuels prices and GDP growth rates for the world, major regions and select countries)
    • Bi-annual Global Energy Watch report (an integrated view of key energy issues from across IHS)
    • Annual updates to macroeconomic and energy datasets; includes detailed regional and country-level outlooks for:
      • Population
      • GDP
      • Primary Energy
      • Oil
      • Natural Gas
      • Coal
      • Electric Power
      • CO2
      • Upstream Oil/Gas Capital Cost
      • Key indicators (labor productivity, exchange rates, interest rates, trade, savings rates, etc.)
    • Summary report/slide deck explaining the key drivers and changes in the annual dataset update
    • IHS Global Scenarios Report (2010) and Macroeconomic Dataset
    • IHS CERA Energy Scenarios Report (2010) and Dataset
    • Online access to ALL service datasets and reports
    • Phone access to IHS research staff
  • Global Scenarios Framework

    Dataset:
    (Scope: global, high-level regional, sector, and major country)

    • CO2 Prices 
    • Crude Oil Prices 
    • Population 
    • Macroeconomic Data

    Qualitative Analysis:
    (Scope: global, high-level regional, sector, and major country)

    • Geopolitics and Security 
    • Environment and Climate Change Policy 
    • Trade Policy 
    • Demographics 
    • Macroeconomics 
    • Technology 
    • Energy


    Energy Scenarios

    Dataset:
    (Scope: global, in-depth regional, sector, major country, and key benchmark prices)

    • Population 
    • GDP Growth 
    • Crude Oil 
    • Natural Gas 
    • Coal 
    • Electric Power 
    • CAPEX Investment 
    • CO2 Prices and Emissions

    Qualitative Analysis:
    (Scope: global, in-depth regional, sector, and major country)

    • Summary of Global Trends 
    • Overview of Global Energy Trends 
    • Trends in Energy Supply and Demand (By sector and region) 
    • CO2 Emissions 
    • Capital Expenditures and Costs 
    • Strategic Implications
  • IHS CERA Energy Scenarios features contributions from experts at IHS CERA, IHS Global Insight, IHS Herold, IHS Jane's, and IHS Fairplay, as well as external contributors. The IHS Scenarios team use an interdisciplinary approach to offer a broad-based and in-depth understanding of the key issues and challenges facing the global business community.p>

    Lead Advisors

    • Daniel Yergin, IHS CERA Chairman
    • Nariman Behravesh, IHS Chief Economist

    Leadership

    • James Burkhard, Managing Director, IHS CERA
    • Rick Vidal, Director of Research, IHS CERA

    Advisory Board Members

    • Michael Stoppard
    • Niklas Bengtsson
    • Thomas Biracree
    • William Edgar
    • Robert Gillon
    • Tate Nurkin
    • Zbyszko Tabernacki

    Research Leaders

    • Bhushan Bahree
    • Sean Biggs
    • Aaron Brady
    • Andrew Ellis
    • Tiffany Groode
    • Bob Ineson
    • Peter Jackson
    • Ruchir Kadakia
    • Todd Lee
    • Rafael McDonald
    • David Price
    • Candice Scott
    • Shankari Srinivasan
    • Jone-Lin Wang
    • Webinar Replay: IHS Global Scenarios—How to Use Alternative Futures in Your Strategic Planning (8 July 2010)
    • Video Replay: Navigating Uncertainty—From Scenarios to Strategy (10 March 2010)
    • Download IHS CERA Energy Scenarios Advisory Service brochure 
    • Download IHS Automotive Scenarios Advisory Service brochure   

Contacts

  • Michael Maddox
    michael.maddox@ihs.com

Free IHS Global Scenarios White Paper

Register for our white paper: Questioning the Present to Understand the Future—The Value of the Scenario Process
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