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Same-Day Analysis

Broadband Boom in Russia Continues into Q1

Published: 5/12/2008

First-quarter 2008 data so far indicates robust broadband growth is continuing, which is to the benefit of Svyazinvest.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

Russia's leading broadband providers are reporting annual subscriber growth rates of over 100%.

Implications

This is helping to push Svyazinvest units into positive revenue growth.

Outlook

Such growth will drive convergence plays and the entry of new players into the market.

Selected Broadband Subscriber Data ('000s)—Russia

 

Main Technology

Q1 2007

Q4 2007

Q1 2008

% Growth Y/Y

% Growth Q/Q

CenterTelecom

xDSL

154.1

304.0

374.1

142.7

23.0

Comstar-UTS

xDSL

411.8

743.0

848.0

105.9

14.4

Dalsvyaz

xDSL

97.0

159.9

186.3

92.0

16.5

ER-Telekom

Cable Modem

N/A

240.4

298.9

N/A

24.3

North-West Telecom

xDSL

N/A

364.6

N/A

N/A

N/A

SibirTelecom

xDSL

89.0

196.9

N/A

N/A

N/A

Southern Telecom

xDSL

92.7

169.6

202.8

118.8

19.6

Uralsvyazinform

xDSL

152.4

294.6

N/A

N/A

N/A

VolgaTelecom

xDSL

154.6

372.5

468.3

203.0

25.7

Source: Global Insight

Outlook and Implications

  • Broadband the Growth Driver: The latest regional fixed-line incumbent to reports its first quarter of 2008 results reflects the ongoing story of broadband as the growth driver at Svyazinvest. In the first quarter of 2008, revenues from data and internet services grew by 63%, compared to a 4.8% growth in local telephony and 1.4% growth in long-distance telephony. Given the relatively weak exposure of the Svyazinvest units to the mobile market, it is imperative that they maintain and expand their share of the broadband market in their respective regions.
  • New Services and Market Entrants: Such growth, as well as the ongoing trend of convergence, is also driving both new, broadband-based services and the entry of new players into the market (see Russia: 22 April 2008: North-West Telecom Begins Testing Regional Triple-Play Service) . Earlier in May 2008, VimpelCom, which now controls Golden Telecom, was denied WiMAX frequencies (see Russia: 8 May 2008: VimpelCom Misses Out on WiMAX Licences in Russia). Its peer, MTS, is also considering broadband deployment (see Russia: 23 April 2008: MTS Mulling Fixed Broadband Roll-Out).
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