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Same-Day Analysis

GM Board Decides Not to Sell Opel

Published: 11/4/2009

In a move that stunned German politicians, and unions, and executives from General Motors (GM), Opel, and Magna, the GM board of directors has voted not to sell the European brand.

IHS Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

The General Motors (GM) board of directors voted late yesterday to keep the German Opel AG subsidiary instead of divesting it to a Russian-backed venture led by Canadian supplier Magna.

Implications

The move surprised nearly everyone, ending over a year's worth of painful negotiations with government, unions, and corporations interested in acquiring all or part of the automaker, and throwing up quite a setback for Magna's goals of becoming an automaker.

Outlook

From a political standpoint, backlash is already forming against GM from the German government, but from a strategic standpoint, keeping Opel was the right thing for GM's global enterprise to do.

The General Motors (GM) board of directors voted late yesterday to not sell a controlling interest in German automaker Opel AG to a Russian-backed venture with Canadian supplier Magna, according to several reports and a release by the automaker. Instead of divesting itself of the brand, GM will instead commence an earnest restructuring of the automaker. "GM will soon present its restructuring plan to Germany and other governments and hopes for its favorable consideration," said Fritz Henderson, president and CEO, in a statement. "We understand the complexity and length of this issue has been draining for all involved. However, from the outset, our goal has been to secure the best long term solution for our customers, employee, suppliers, and dealers, which is reflected in the decision reached today. This was deemed to be the most stable and least costly approach for securing Opel/Vauxhall's long-term future." The company has estimated that it will need to invest roughly 3 billion euro, which it says is much less than any of the bids submitted by the potential suitors who wanted a part of Opel. GM says that it will work with all the relevant European labour unions to negotiate plans to help guarantee Opel's viability. What GM did not relate was any mention of bankruptcy, but the release did suggest that bankruptcy was not what GM had mind for its European operation.

GM cited the improving global business situation since it emerged from bankruptcy as a main reason why it has decided not to sell Opel. "While strained, the business environment in Europe has improved," Henderson said. "At the same time, GM's overall financial health and stability have improved significantly over the past few months, giving us confidence that the European business can be successfully restructured. We are grateful for the hard work of the German and other EU governments in navigating this difficult economic period. We're also appreciative of the effort put forward by Magna and its partners in Russia in trying to reach an equitable agreement."

Outlook and Implications

The announcement that the deal was off was generally met with disappointment in Germany, where a year's worth of painstaking negotiations with labour unions, bridge financing from the German government, and heated debate between government stakeholders had led to the expectation that the Magna deal would be complete before the end of the year. Indeed, even GM's own executives had thought as recently as two weeks ago that the deal would be finalised soon, with Henderson even saying that he felt the best course of action for Opel would be divestiture to Magna. The move is also a setback for Magna, which had truly thought that it had found its way into becoming an automaker, long a goal of founder and CEO Frank Stronach, despite the fact that many automakers quietly said that if Magna did gain control of Opel that they would stop doing business with the Canadian megasupplier. Magna's executives were magnanimous in their statements following the announcement however. "We understand that the board concluded that it was in GM's best interests to retain Opel, which plays an important role within GM's global organization," Magna co-CEO Siegfried Wolf said in a statement. "We will continue to support Opel and GM in the challenges ahead and wish to thank everyone who supported the Opel restructuring process for their tireless efforts and dedication over the past several months."

German unions were not as kind however, with some calling for GM to repay the bridging loans that Germany had provided by the end of the month. That sentiment was echoed by the German government as well, which released a statement late last night after the announcement by GM. "The government regrets the decision of the General Motors board to restructure Opel itself and to keep it in the group," government spokesperson Ulrich Wilhelm said in a statement. It is not yet clear what the political fallout will be from the decision to keep Opel, however the government of Chancellor Angela Merkel lobbied hard for the loans to GM in support of the Magna deal. From an American perspective however, it is not surprising that GM has elected to keep Opel. IHS Global Insight analysts have been suggesting that such a scheme might be in the works, and that GM may have been delaying until it felt it was in a more favourable financial position to secure its ownership and fund the investment in the company. Where GM is going to get the money to fund the Opel restructuring is still something of a mystery, as none of the money that it has received from the U.S. government may be used for overseas operations. Some creative accounting may need to be done at GM if it is to reorganise its European operations. But from a strategic standpoint, Opel is a critical piece of GM's global empire, providing as it has the platforms for a number of the company's global vehicles. Losing Opel, and a significant chunk of the European market, was a desperation strategy that GM apparently feels it is secure enough now not to need.
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