• United States Flag United States
  • Investors
  • Contact Us
  • Online Stores
Customer Login
Select a Country or Language
  • Algeria
  • Arabic
  • Australia
  • Brazil
  • Canada
  • China
  • Egypt
  • France
  • Germany
  • Iraq
  • Italy
  • Japan
  • Kuwait
  • Lebanon
  • Libya
  • Mexico
  • Morocco
  • Qatar
  • Russia
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
  • South Sudan
  • Sudan
  • Syria
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates
  • United Kingdom
  • United States
  • Energy & Power
  • IHS Connect Oil and Gas
  • IHS CERA
  • Energy (Canada)
  • Energy (US / Intl.)
  • IHS McCloskey
  • IHS Herold
  • IHS Petrodata
  • Design & Supply Chain
  • IHS ERC
  • IHS PCNalert
  • UK Solutions
  • IHS 4DOnline
  • EHS & Sustainability
  • EHS / ECN
  • Defense, Risk & Security
  • IHS Jane's
  • IHS Fairplay
  • Commodities, Pricing & Cost
  • IHS Global Insight
  • IHS CERA
  • Country & Industry Forecasting
  • IHS Global Insight
  • IHS Automotive
  • See all logins
IHS Home PageIHS
  • Home
  • IHS Capabilities
    IHS Capabilities
    • IHS Capabilities Overview
    • Capabilities
    • Energy & Power
    • Design & Supply Chain
    • EHS & Sustainability
    • Defense, Risk & Security
    • Commodities, Pricing & Cost
    • Country & Industry Forecasting
    • Consulting & Advisory Services
    • IHS Experts
    • Global Reach
    • Recent Topics
    • Q&A
    • Energy & Power

      Energy & Power

      IHS helps energy firms make confident decisions with full coverage of fuel types and markets More

    • Global Reach

      Global Reach

      With nearly 100 offices around the globe, provides a comprehensive network for clients More

  • Industry Solutions
    Industry Solutions
    • Industry Solutions Overview
    • Aerospace & Defense
    • Agriculture
    • Automotive
    • Chemicals
    • Construction
    • Consumer & Retail
    • Electronics & Telecommunications
    • Energy Oil & Gas
    • Financial
    • Government
    • Healthcare
    • Metals & Mining
    • Military & Security
    • Power & Utilities
    • Renewable Energy
    • Shipping & Transportation
    • Aerospace & Defense

      Aerospace & Defense

      Data and analysis for Aerospace and Defense life cycle, from programme conception to retirement More

    • Metals and Mining

      Metals and Mining

      IHS Metals and Mining experts deliver market knowledge and updates in operational safety regulations More

  • Products & Services
    Products & Services
    • Products & Services Overview
    • Energy & Power
    • Energy Information, Software & Solutions
    • IHS CERA: Energy Strategy
    • IHS Herold: Energy Company & Transactions Valuations
    • Coal Information & Insight: IHS McCloskey
    • Renewable Energy: IHS Emerging Energy Research
    • Design & Supply Chain
    • Industry Standards & Regulations
    • Product Design, Sourcing & Logistics
    • Maintenance, Repair & Ops Management (MRO)
    • IHS iSuppli: Technology, Media & Telecommunications
    • IHS Screen Digest: Media Intelligence
    • EHS & Sustainability
    • Environmental, Health and Safety & Sustainability
    • Defense, Risk & Security
    • IHS Jane's: Defense & Security Intelligence & Analysis
    • Maritime Intelligence & Publications: IHS Fairplay
    • Commodities, Pricing & Cost
    • IHS Global Insight: Pricing & Purchasing
    • IHS CERA: Capital Costs
    • Country & Industry Forecasting
    • IHS Global Insight: Country & Industry Forecasting
    • Automotive Forecasting: IHS Automotive
    • IHS Global Scenarios
    • Services
    • Consulting & Advisory Services
    • IHS CERA

      IHS CERA

      Leading strategy advisors to international energy companies, governments and financial institutions More

    • Standards & Regulations

      Standards & Regulations

      IHS provides technical standards, codes & specifications plus the tools to manage critical data More

    • EHS&S Solutions

      EHS&S Solutions

      IHS helps companies meet their EHS&S goals with the most deployed enterprise software solution More

  • Current Insights
    Current Insights
    • Current Insights

      Current Insights

      IHS covers global industry & economic insight and analysis to advance client business decisions More

    • Current Insights
    • Country & Industry Forecasting
    • Energy & Power
    • Defense, Risk & Security
  • Events
    Events
    • IHS Events

      IHS Events

      Every year IHS holds events across the world featuring valuable information from recognized experts. More

    • Webinars & Webcasts

      Webinars & Webcasts

      IHS regularly presents broad-audience, open-access webinars on current industry subjects. More

    • Events Overview
    • IHS Events
    • Member Events
    • Training & User Groups
    • Webcasts
    • Industry Events
  • About
    About
    • Contact Us

      Contact Us

      IHS takes pride in putting customers first and making sure that we keep you informed and updated More

    • Pressroom

      Pressroom

      Find the IHS news releases, media experts, corporate profile and more... More

    • About IHS Overview
    • Contact Us
    • IHS at a Glance
    • Corporate Sustainability
    • Executive Team
    • Investor Relations
    • Press Room
    • Careers

IHS Global Insight: Country & Industry Forecasting

Share Share  |  
Print Page Email Page Smaller Text Larger Text
  • Home
  • Products & Services
  • IHS Global Insight: Country & Industry Forecasting
  • Industry Economic Report
IHS Global Insight: Country & Industry Forecasting
 
  • Country Intelligence
  • Industry Intelligence
  • Consulting Services
  • IHS Global Insight Accolades
  • EViews Econometric Modeling Software
 

Other Products & Services

Commodities, Pricing & Cost

  • IHS Global Insight: Pricing & Purchasing
  • IHS CERA: Capital Costs

Country & Industry Forecasting

  • IHS Global Insight: Country & Industry Forecasting
  • Automotive Forecasting: IHS Automotive
  • IHS Global Scenarios

Defense, Risk & Security

  • IHS Jane's: Defense & Security Intelligence & Analysis
  • Maritime Intelligence & Publications: IHS Fairplay

Design & Supply Chain

  • Industry Standards & Regulations
  • Product Design, Sourcing & Logistics
  • Maintenance, Repair & Ops Management (MRO)
  • IHS iSuppli: Technology, Media & Telecommunications
  • IHS Screen Digest: Media Intelligence

EHS & Sustainability

  • Environmental, Health and Safety & Sustainability

Energy & Power

  • Energy Information, Software & Solutions
  • IHS CERA: Energy Strategy
  • IHS Herold: Energy Company & Transaction Valuations
  • Coal Information & Insight: IHS McCloskey
  • Renewable Energy: IHS Emerging Energy Research

Services

  • Consulting & Advisory Services
Subscribe  |  Archives

Same-Day Analysis

Constitutional Court Ban of Pro-Kurdish Party Plunges Turkey into Political Turmoil

Published: 12/14/2009

Last Friday (11 December) the Turkish Constitutional Court opted for the worst option—political repression—to resolve the government's long-standing conflict with its 12-million-strong Kurdish minority; the move instantly erupted into violent Kurdish demonstrations across Turkey, tarnishing the country's international image and its attempts to join the European Union.

IHS Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

The Turkish Constitutional Court decided on 11 December to dissolve the country's only pro-Kurdish party in parliament, the Democratic Society Party (DTP), citing its links with the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK).

Implications

The decision by the Constitutional Court is a drawback for Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's efforts to democratise the country and to move forward on its accession talks with the European Union, as well as resolve decades-old internal ethnic conflict with the country's sizeable Kurdish minority.

Outlook

The decision is set to escalate violent clashes between Kurds and government forces, deepening the ethnic divide in the country. The possible resignation of the DTP's 21 legislators may also warrant a new parliamentary election.

The Divisive Decision, Ensuing Violence

Last Friday (11 December) the Turkish Constitutional Court decided to dissolve the Democratic Society Party (DTP), the largest pro-Kurdish party, with 21 members in the 550-seat Turkish Parliament. Ahmet Turk, the DTP's chairman and legislator, along with 36 other party members, is barred from politics for the next five years. The court's top judge, Hasim Kilic, stated that the motivation behind the decision was the DTP's actions against the unity of the nation by maintaining links with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), a rebel party that has been locked in a deadly fight with the central government for the past 25 years over Kurdish autonomy in the country's south-eastern regions—a war that so far has claimed over 30, 000 lives, mostly Kurds. The PKK is branded as a terrorist organisation in Turkey, the European Union (EU), and the United States. The DTP, founded in 2005, is the 10th pro-Kurdish party to be banned in Turkey for collaborating with the PKK. Immediately after the court's decision, all 21 DTP legislators declared a boycott of the parliament. It is possible that the remaining 19 DTP legislators may resign from the parliament this week, which will lead to a new parliamentary election.

Violent protests by angered Kurdish demonstrators erupted in all parts of the country immediately after the court determination was announced. Istanbul, Izmir, Diyarbakir, the south-eastern and southern towns of Van, Yuksekova, Hakkari, and the capital Ankara have been shaken by violent protests. Molotov cocktails, guns, and knives were used during the clashes between the Kurdish demonstrators and the Turkish nationalists—backed by the Turkish paramilitaries and police—leaving huge numbers injured. The protests, which have even reached neighbouring Lebanon's capital Beirut, are not showing any sign of easing.

The country's pro-reform president, Abdullah Gul, has justified the Constitutional Court's decision by stating that the court has no other choice but to ban the terrorist-related DTP. Conversely, the Swedish presidency of the EU has criticised the verdict only hours after its promulgation, calling it a motion that violates Kurdish rights, and pledging to closely monitor the events. The chairwoman of the EU-Turkey Joint Parliamentary Committee, Helene Flautre, and European Parliament Turkey Rapporteur Ria Oomen-Ruijten on Saturday (12 December) called the ban sabotage and an obstacle to the government's initiative to bring more rights to Turkey's Kurdish population.

Bad News for Kurds and Turkish Prime Minister

The Constitutional Court's determination has effectively ended Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's drive to bring peace to the country's rebellious south-eastern Kurdish regions. Only two months ago, Erdogan announced a new policy of "opening democracy", a drive that would have given more freedom to Kurds to have their own media outlets and schools. This was a bold move in a country where the constitution declares that all its citizens are Turks and where for decades successive governments even refused to use the word "Kurd", instead calling its 12 million Kurdish population "mountainous Turks". As Turkey has launched accession talks with the EU, Kurdish minority rights have also been flagged as a major stumbling block on the country’s accession path to the 27-member bloc. The Constitutional Court's decision has halted Erdogan's efforts to move forward with his new ethnic policies and democratic reforms, at least for now.

The sponsors behind the decision are Turkey's conservative secularists, backed by the Turkish militaries—self-declared guardians of the secularist regime as proclaimed by the country's founder, Kemal Ataturk. They are known to have resorted to violent coups in the past if they deem any political force dangerous for the secular Kemalist traditions of the country. Political repression, and especially the closure of parties, is one of their methods of choice in settling political disagreements. Unsurprisingly, only last year the secularist conservatives staged a failed attempt in the constitutional court to close down Erdogan's AKP Islamic–rooted party on the grounds of contravening the country's secular constitution. In turn, the government launched the so-called "Ergenekon" inquiry, involving about 200 people, including army officers, academics, and lawyers, allegedly trying to upstage the Islamic government. It seems that the DPT has fallen prey to the long-standing feud between Turkish secularist conservatives and the military on one hand, and the Islamic reformists on the other hand.

Outlook and Implications

Turkey has yet again failed to keep up its recent democratisation drive. The secularist conservatives, with most of the military in the forefront, dealt a blow not only to Erdogan, but also to Turkey's image as a country with aspirations of democratic values. Domestically, the decision is most likely to bring more disenchantment among the rural and largely poor Kurdish youth, and prove the PKK right in arguing that the Turkish government would never grant Kurds any rights through democratic processes and that the only way to gain freedom is to force the central government through continued guerrilla war. Paradoxically, the non-democratic move comes from Turkish secularists who have strived to keep Turkey close to Western values, whereas the real democratic changes are coming from the Islamic-rooted party. As the recent events show, Erdogan's attempts to reinvent Turkey—both domestically and internationally—may prove to be too ambitious for Turks. It seems that the Turkish society is not yet ready to embrace certain democratic changes such as extending rights to its minorities by allowing them to use their own language and have their own media outlets, as well as fully fledged ethnic identity.
Subscribe  |  Archives

Most Viewed Articles

  1. Key US Data Releases and Events
  2. US January Employment Report Is Far Stronger Than Expected
  3. Global Economic Impact of the Japanese Earthquake, Tsunami, and Nuclear Disaster
  4. Preliminary Figures on Russian 2011 GDP Growth Surprise on the Upside
  5. Argentina Shows Mixed Response to Falklands Tensions
  6. Key US Data Releases and Events
  7. EU Member States Agree On Fiscal Treaty; UK and Czech Republic Refuse to Sign
  8. Fitch's Six Rating Downgrades Spare Triple-AAA Euro Sovereigns But Highlight Restricted Reserve Currency Benefits
  9. Bank of England Policy Decision Heads up UK Economic Week for the Commencing 6 February
  10. Deal Signed on Burgas-Alexandroupolis Pipeline; Construction to Begin in 2008

Related Content

  • Country Intelligence

IHS Capabilities

  • Energy & Power
  • Design & Supply Chain
  • EHS & Sustainability
  • Defense, Risk & Security
  • Commodities, Pricing & Cost
  • Country & Industry Forecasting

Industry Solutions

  • Aerospace & Defense
  • Agriculture
  • Automotive
  • Chemicals
  • Construction
  • Consumer & Retail
  • Electronics & Telecommunications
  • Energy Oil & Gas
  • Financial
  • Government
  • Healthcare
  • Metals & Mining
  • Military & Security
  • Shipping & Transportation

Products & Services

  • Industry Standards & Regulations
  • Product Design, Sourcing & Logistics
  • Maintenance, Repair & Ops Management (MRO)
  • Environmental, Health and Safety & Sustainability
  • Maritime Intelligence & Publications: IHS Fairplay
  • IHS Global Scenarios
  • Consulting & Advisory Services

Recent Acquisitions

  • Purvin & Gertz
  • Seismic Micro-Technology
  • CMAI
  • Dyadem International, Ltd.
  • Syntex Management Systems Inc.
  • Atrion International Inc.
  • Access Intelligence Chemical & Energy Products
  • More
  • About IHS
  • Contact Us
  • Careers
  • Investors
  • Site Map
  • A-Z Product Index
  • Privacy Policy
  • Legal Statement 2012 IHS Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Close window

To change the font size, press Ctrl and (- or +)

Help, that didn't work

To change the font size, Ctrl + (- or +)

If that didn’t work, try the following:

Microsoft Internet Explorer

  1. From the View menu, select Text Size
  2. Select an option from Smallest to Largest

Firefox or Netscape

  1. From the View menu, select Zoom or Text Size
  2. Select Increase or Decrease

Google Chrome

  1. Click the wrench icon next to the address bar.
  2. Next to Zoom, select + or -

Welcome to the new IHS Petrodata

ODS-Petrodata has a new web presence following our acquisition by IHS. Our look has changed, but the quality our information and insight remains the same. Our addition to IHS gives you access to a larger array of world-class information and analysis.

Enjoy your visit, and please don't hesitate to contact us with any questions regarding our new online presence. To log in to your ODS-Petrodata account, click on the Customer Login link found at the top of every page.

Please review the privacy policy and terms of use for our new website.

1/31/2012 11:59:00 AM