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Same-Day Analysis

GSA Report Confirms 59 Operators in 28 Countries Committed to Deploying LTE

Published: 3/4/2010

Of the network commitments, up to 22 are expected to go live by end-2010.

IHS Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

Industry group the Global Mobile Suppliers' Association (GSA) reports that as of late February there were 59 telecoms operators in 28 countries committed to deploying long-term evolution (LTE); a further 16 operators had indicated preliminary interest in the technology.

Implications

There has been a notable increase particularly in the number of LTE networks set to go live during 2010, with the GSA now expecting them to total up to 22, in comparison to the potential 15 reported in October last year. Additionally, TeliaSonera has beaten its original timeline by already launching the networks in Sweden and Norway in December 2009.

Outlook

Although LTE is currently being rolled out primarily as a mobile broadband technology, the industry is meanwhile also making progress in opening it up for voice and messaging services.

The GSA has released its latest information paper tracking operators' plans to deploy LTE networks. According to the report, as of 26 February there were 59 operators in a total of 28 countries committed to rolling out the technology, including TeliaSonera's units in Sweden and Norway which are the first ones to have their commercial LTE infrastructures in service. Based on its current information, the GSA expects the number of launched networks to reach up to 22 by the end of 2010, and 37 by the end of 2012.

In addition, at the time of the report, there were a further 16 operators that were engaged in trialling or other planning activities but had not yet clearly decided or committed to launching a commercial service, including for instance, seven units of Telefónica in Europe and Latin America.

LTE Network Commitments by Country and Operator

Country

Operator

Expected launch

Norway

TeliaSonera

Launched 2009

Sweden

TeliaSonera

Launched 2009

Armenia

Vivacell-MTS

2010

Canada

Telus

2010

Canada

Bell Canada

2010

China

China Telecom

2010

China

China Mobile

2010

Finland

TeliaSonera

2010

Japan

NTT DoCoMo

2010

Japan

Emobile

2010

South Korea

SK Telecom

2010

South Korea

KT

2010

Sweden

Telenor

2010

Sweden

Tele2

2010

U.S.

CenturyTel

2010

U.S.

MetroPCS

2010

U.S.

Verizon Wireless

2010

U.A.E

Etisalat

2010

Canada

Rogers Wireless

2010–2011

Germany

Vodafone

2010–2011

U.S.

Cox Comms

2010–2011

South Africa

Vodacom

2010–2011

Germany

T-Mobile

2011

Ireland

Hutchison 3

2011

Japan

Softbank Mobile

2011

South Korea

LG Telecom

2011

U.S.

AT&T

2011

U.S.

Aircell

2011

Austria

T-Mobile

2011–2012

Austria

Mobilkom

2011–2012

Austria

Hutchison 3

2011–2012

Austria

Orange

2011–2012

France

Orange

2011–2012

New Zealand

Telecom NZ

2011–2012

Japan

KDDI

2012

Taiwan

Chunghwa Telecom

2012

Uzbekistan

MTS

2012

Australia

Telstra

To be confirmed

Bahrain

Zain

To be confirmed

Brazil

Vivo

To be confirmed

Finland

Elisa

To be confirmed

Finland

DNA

To be confirmed

France

SFR

To be confirmed

Hong Kong

SmarTone-Vodafone

To be confirmed

Hong Kong

PCCW

To be confirmed

Hong Kong

CSL

To be confirmed

Hong Kong

Hutchison 3

To be confirmed

Hong Kong

China Mobile

To be confirmed

Italy

Telecom Italia

To be confirmed

Netherlands

KPN

To be confirmed

Norway

Telenor

To be confirmed

Philippines

Piltel

To be confirmed

Portugal

Portugal Telecom

To be confirmed

Saudi Arabia

Zain

To be confirmed

Saudi Arabia

STC

To be confirmed

Singapore

M1

To be confirmed

Singapore

Starhub

To be confirmed

South Africa

Cell C

To be confirmed

U.S.

T-Mobile

To be confirmed

Source: GSA

Information as of 26 February 2010.

Outlook and Implications

  • Voice-over-LTE to Facilitate Migration of Voice and Messaging Services: LTE has obviously gained further industry push over the past few months, as can be seen when comparing the breakdown of confirmed network commitments to what the GSA reported for October 2009 (see World: 25 November 2009: GSA Survey Reports 42 LTE Commitments in 21 Countries). Back then, out of the 42 commitments in 21 countries, up to 15 were set to go live during 2010, whereas the potential number has now increased to 22—furthermore, TeliaSonera has beaten its initial 2010 launch window by activating the networks in Sweden and Norway already in late 2009. In the meantime, there has also been further progress in establishing the global standards for the delivery of voice and messaging services over LTE networks, with the GSM Association (GSMA) announcing during its annual Mobile World Congress in February the adoption of the relevant Voice-over-LTE (VoLTE) initiative (see World: 6 November 2009: Vendors and Operators Agree on Voice over LTE Solution and 17 February 2010: GSMA Adopts One Voice Initiative Standard for 4G). This move has particular significance in the sense that it is likely to facilitate an eventual migration of the traditional, non-data mobile services to LTE networks, thus adding more behind the technology that is steadily establishing itself as the de facto standard for post-GSM communications.
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