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Same-Day Analysis

Telefónica Revenues up 3.5% in 2011 on Latin American Growth

Published: 2/24/2012

Merger and acquisition activity in 2010 pushed up Telefónica’s revenues as organic growth flat-lined.



IHS Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

Telefónica reported its 2011 results with the acquisitions of Vivo acting as a particular boost to its fortunes.

Implications

Organic growth flat-lined, with revenues up by 0.1%.

Outlook

Growth in 2012 will continue to be driven by its emerging markets in Latin America, while it continues to invest in M2M and mobile payments.

Spanish incumbent operator Telefónica has reported its fourth quarter and full year results for 2011 with revenues for the year growing 3.5% year-on-year (y/y) to EUR62.8 billion (USD84.1 billion). Of particular note was the gain of 11% y/y in the fourth quarter in Peru. Operating income before depreciation and amortisation (OIBDA) fell 21.6% y/y to EUR20.2 billion. OIBDA margin decreased by 10.3 percentage points to 32.2%.

OIBDA Breakdown

 

Q4 2010

Q4 2011

y/y % change

2010

2011

y/y % change

Spain

1,850

1,757

-5.0

8,520

5,072

-40.5

Latin America

2,942

3,174

7.9

13,713

10,941

-20.2

Brazil

1,420

1,406

-1.0

4,074

5,302

30.1

Argentina

268

303

13.1

1,082

1,085

0.3

Chile

374

271

-27.5

1,092

1,035

-5.2

Peru

214

192

-10.3

812

751

-7.5

Colombia

87

155

78.2

484

540

11.6

Mexico

149

274

83.9

623

572

-8.2

Venezuela

334

370

10.8

1,087

1,177

8.3

Central America

52

64

23.1

189

165

-12.7

Ecuador

33

40

21.2

121

137

13.2

Uruguay

26

29

11.5

95

104

9.5

Europe

1,097

1,067

-2.7

4,080

4,233

3.8

United Kingdom

466

426

-8.6

1,830

1,836

0.3

Germany

310

347

11.9

944

1,219

29.1

Ireland

74

43

-41.9

275

206

-25.1

Czech Republic and Slovakia

250

242

-3.2

953

931

-2.3

Other companies and eliminations

-480

-38

-92.1

-535

-36

-93.3

Total

5,410

5,960

10.2

25,777

20,210

-21.6

Source: Telefónica

Operationally, Telefónica reported a mixed picture: total broadband subscriptions grew 5.5% y/y, fixed-lines in service fell 3.0% y/y, mobile subscriptions grew 8.4% y/y, and Pay-TV subscriptions climbed 18.7% y/y.

Outlook and Implications

  • LTE to Assist Mobile Data Growth in Spain: Telefónica's performance in Spain was dulled by the increasing competition within the fixed-line and mobile markets. In the mobile market the mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) alongside Yoigo have been effective at carving up the low-end of the market digging into subscriber growth and revenues. While in the fixed-line market Jazztel's competitive pricing started to pull away broadband customers, with the operator recording a 2.0% year-on-year loss. Telefónica will be looking for growth in 2012 through increased uptake of mobile data, which the operator reported grew 10.9% y/y. Accelerated deployment of LTE in 2012 will help to maintain strong mobile data growth. The regulator’s plans to increase the pace of mobile termination rate (MTR) cuts will add pressure to revenue growth and prices (see Spain: 7 February 2012: Regulator to Expedite MTR Cut in Spain).
  • Brazil Telefónica's Most Profitable Unit: The decline in Telefónica's Spanish fortunes saw the operator record greater OIBDA from Brazil than any other region, now accounting for 26.2% of all OIBDA at EUR5.30 billion for 2011. This will not be maintained in 2012, due to one-off results, but it does demonstrate the importance of the Latin American region to Telefónica, with over 50% of its OIBDA coming from the region. Vivo's plans to increase its 3G coverage to 85% of the population by end-2012 will see it grow 3G subscriptions beyond the 8.67 million at September 2011 (see Brazil: 6 January 2012: Vivo 3G Coverage Reaches 2,500 Municipalities in Brazil)
  • Mobile Data in Europe: Growth within its European operations continued to be powered by its German operations, with revenues up 4.3% y/y for the year, while growth did slow in the fourth quarter to 1.2% y/y. Across Europe mobile data was a major revenue driver. In the United Kingdom, where it is the leading operator, mobile data average revenue per user (ARPU) grew to EUR10.5, accounting for 45% of total ARPU. In Germany where it is challenging the leading two operators Vodafone and Deutsche Telekom, mobile data accounts for 41% of ARPU. Escalating mobile data costs have led O2 Germany to sign a deal to use Deutsche Telekom's backbone network with the first connections planned for the second quarter of 2012 (see Germany - South Korea: 12 January 2012: Deutsche Telekom Signs Network Sharing and Connected Home Deals).
  • Future Growth Drivers: As part of its growth plan Telefónica is looking for growth from machine-to-machine (M2M) and mobile payments. Prior to its results announcement Telefónica announced two key developments in these areas. Telefónica announced that its joint-venture with MasterCard in Latin America would be called Wanda. Wanda will provide mobile payments services across Telefónica’s 12 Latin American operations. It’s European mobile payments service continues to take shape with deals agreed with Sybase, Research In Motion, and Giesecke & Devrient (see Spain: 15 February 2012: Telefónica Selects Sybase 365 for M-Wallet). In its M2M business Telefónica has been tapped by OnStar to provide mobile internet services to OnStar-equipped vehicles by General Motors.
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