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Energy Strategy: IHS CERA

Europe’s Gas Market: Caught Between Opposing Forces

Published: 8/2/2012

The European gas market is caught between opposing forces: a weak economy and tight supply. Continuing economic doldrums lower gas demand, but supply is soft because of declining indigenous production and reduced liquefied natural gas (LNG) deliveries. Tight supply is likely to outlast weak demand in the near term, putting upward pressure on traded prices by 2014 at the latest; but price strength may dissipate if LNG supply surges as expected by 2015.

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