Light-vehicle Production Forecasts

IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Forecast is the industry standard for automotive forecasting and analysis, providing comprehensive and accurate future vehicle cycle plans, forecast volumes, and plant capacity utilization data. Our team of industry and economic experts collaborate across 10 countries spanning 4 continents—leveraging detailed regional economic and sales analysis and its extensive network of industry relationships—to provide a clear understanding of consumer dynamics and market trends and help you discern future product developments.

Updated monthly and backed by 10 years of historical data, IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Forecast provides:

• Detailed analysis on regional economics, sales, production, competitive segmentation, product cycles, and manufacturing strategies
• Geographic coverage of 50-plus production countries across seven regions, representing 99% of global light vehicle production
• Field coverage of 30-plus attributes covered consistently for all light vehicles produced

The base IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Forecast spans 7 years and is updated monthly. Data are delivered in monthly buckets for history, current year and two forecast years; quarterly for the rest of the base horizon buckets.

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When the success of your business relies on long-term planning, even a seven-year forecast horizon may not be sufficient. That’s why IHS Automotive has introduced its Light Vehicle Production 12-year Extension Module. This first-of-its-kind product provides automotive industry suppliers and OEMs with insight and analysis over a 12-year horizon, so they can understand and plan for market trends and directions well into the future.

With the unmatched coverage of IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Forecast at its core, the 12-year Extension Module also provides calendar-year forecast volumes for years 8–12.

The 12-Year Extension Module is an optional add-on module to the base Light Vehicle Production Forecast. The 12-year Extension Module is updated monthly.

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Access to current, accurate production forecasts and analysis is the critical first step in understanding where the light vehicle market is going and where your opportunities and challenges lie. But detailed insight on bodystyle (vehicle silhouette and number of apertures) from the IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Bodystyle Module is your secret weapon for successful business planning, supply-chain and logistics management, and competitive analysis.

IHS Automotive forecasts nearly 30 bodystyles, which include the vehicle silhouette combined with the number of apertures/doors. Our Light Vehicle Production Bodystyle Module includes all the coverage of our Light Vehicle Production Forecast, plus:

• Vehicle bodystyle
• Vehicle/bodystyle mnemonic
• Start-of-production for vehicle/bodystyle combination per plant
• End-of-production for vehicle/bodystyle combination per plant
• Extended 12-year forecast horizon (upon request)

The Bodystyle Module is an optional add-on module to the base Light-Vehicle Production Forecast. The Module is updated monthly. Data are delivered in monthly buckets for history, current year and two forecast years; quarterly for the rest of the base horizon buckets.

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Understanding the sales-country destinations of vehicles produced at each OEM assembly plant can help you manage your financial forecasts, production cycles, and capacity more effectively. But this specialized information has been hard to come by until now. IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Export Destination Module is the only product of its kind, providing OEMs, suppliers, and logistics companies with timely, accurate, and valuable export destination data and OEM sourcing strategy analysis.

Only the IHS Automotive proprietary integrated sales and production forecast methodologies yield the valuable sourcing strategy trends behind this complex industry. Building off IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Forecast, our team of global experts gathers, aggregates, and analyzes vehicle destination data from facilities around the world. The result of these efforts is the specialized insight featured in the Export Destination Module, which includes for each vehicle and plant:

• Sales regions, markets, and countries
• Currencies of both production countries and sales countries
• Sales nameplate

The Export Destination Module also can be extended to include vehicle body type (vehicle silhouette).

The Export Destination Module is an optional add-on module to the base Light-Vehicle Production Forecast. The Module is updated twice per quarter. Data are delivered in quarterly buckets.

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Automotive OEM production capacity and utilization is a key indicator not only for the industry, but for the global economy as well. Access to reliable capacity and utilization forecasts—along with an understanding of their long- and short-term implications—is fundamental to identifying industry growth opportunities and red flags. IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Capacity/Utilization Module provides the information and insight you need to make smarter planning and investment decisions, maximize opportunity and minimize risk, and create winning competitive strategies.

IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Capacity/Utilization Module extends the unmatched coverage of our Light Vehicle Production Forecast, to provide:

• Analysis for each light vehicle assembly facility, including production structure setup
• Global analysis for total capacity/utilization by OEM and region by plant. Fields include:
  • Normalized capacity and utilization (%)
  • Straight-time capacity and utilization (%)
  • Maximum capacity and utilization (%)
  • Shift set-up
  • Labor representation
  • Initial output (plant footprint)

The Capacity Utilization Module is an optional add-on module to the base Light-Vehicle Production Forecast. The Module is updated monthly. Data is delivered in calendar year buckets.

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It is the unforeseen market highs and lows that threaten the stability and profitability of your business. IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Contingency Forecasts help you prepare for the possible—both the opportunities and the obstacles—by delivering detailed sensitivity analysis on the IHS Automotive baseline production forecasts. Our automotive and macroeconomic experts provide you with high- and low-band sensitivity forecast scenarios for key industry drivers—from natural disasters and oil prices, to trade deficits and GDP growth—that could bolster or impair the global automotive market and your piece of it.

An essential companion to our Light Vehicle Production Forecast, the IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Production Contingency Forecasts help you understand what could happen and what you can do to prepare. Subscribers to the service receive:

• Two alternative model-level forecasts with the same 30-plus detailed fields as the base production forecast, which range from global/regional segmentation to plant and nameplate volume
• Narrative describing alternative economic/demand conditions and high-level effects on regions and their segments
• Delta calculations for analysis of regions, OEMs, vehicles, and plant changes compared with the core production forecast

Contingency Forecasts are an optional add-on module to the base Light-Vehicle Production Forecast. The forecasts are updated quarterly. Data is delivered in monthly buckets for history, current year and two forecast years; quarterly for the rest of the base horizon buckets.

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