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The global automotive industry faced many challenges in 2011. From the supply-chain disruptions that followed the Japanese tsunami and the Thailand floods, to the second economic downturn across the United States in the summer and the unfolding European debt crisis, the industry was buffeted by uncertainty and volatility. Success in this industry requires a deep understanding of global market conditions and the ability to plan for, and mitigate, a variety of risks.
Please join us as we present our outlook for the industry. We will cover the global economic outlook and the main risks to growth. In the automotive markets, we will focus on key regions and market drivers, along with contingency forecasts for automotive sales and production. We will cover long-term industry trends in a variety of special IHS Automotive scenarios and discuss the latest developments in powertrain, infotainment/ADAS, and OEM strategies.
Tim Armstrong, Senior Director at IHS Automotive, is responsible for global automotive forecasting capabilities covering light vehicle sales and production, powertrain, components and heavy trucks. In addition, he oversees the near real-time news and analysis provided by the World Markets automotive team. He has nearly 20 years experience in forecasting, specializing in analysis of emerging markets. Since joining DRI in 1996 he has headed automotive forecasting research on Asia, Central and Eastern Europe and Middle East and Africa. From 1989 to 1996 he was a senior commodities analyst for Commodities Research Unit in London.
Educated in Australia, Mr Armstrong holds a Master of Economics degree from the University of Western Australia and Bachelor's degrees in economics and finance from Murdoch University and Curtin University. Languages include English and French.
Dr. Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist of IHS and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates (McGraw-Hill). Directing the entire economic forecasting process at IHS, he is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals, located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa who cover economic, financial and political developments in over 200 countries.
Behravesh is a "Bloomberg Best" and ranked as one of Bloomberg's Top-10 economists for 2009 and 2010. MarketWatch designated IHS Global Insight "Forecaster of the Year" in 2009 and has bestowed several Forecaster of the Month accolades since. He and his team were designated #1 in USA Today's 2004 ranking of top economic forecasters, and in Reuters' 2004 survey of major currency exchange rate forecasters. In 2008, he was ranked #2 by USA Today. In The Wall Street Journal's annual ranking of US forecasters, Behravesh was ranked #3 (out of 56) for 2006 and was the only forecaster to place in the top six for 2003, 2004 and 2006. As the chief economics spokesperson at IHS, Behravesh is quoted extensively in the media on such topics as the outlook for the US and global economies, exchange rates, the budget deficit, the trade deficit, globalization, country risk and sovereign debt crises. He is cited frequently in leading business publications such as the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, the Financial Times, USA Today, Investor's Business Daily, Business Week, Newsweek, Fortune, Forbes and US News and World Report. He also regularly appears on national radio and television programs including BBC World Business Report, NBC Nightly News, CNN Headline News, The News Hour with Jim Lehrer (PBS), Fox News, CNBC, Bloomberg TV and Radio, and All Things Considered and Market Place on National Public Radio.
Behravesh was the host of the PBS television series "Inside the Global Economy." In addition to his recent book, he has authored numerous articles in such publications as European Affairs and Credit Week, co-authored two books-Economics U$A (now in its 8th edition) and Microcomputers, Corporate Planning and Decision Support Systems-and was a contributing author to a book on scenario analysis, entitled Learning From the Future. His op-ed pieces have also appeared in the Financial Times, Newsweek International, London Times and the Boston Globe.
Before joining IHS, Behravesh was chief economist for Global Insight (now an IHS company). Prior to that, he was chief international economist for Standard & Poor's. He also held a number of other positions, including president and CEO of Oxford Economics U.S.A. and Group Senior Vice President of WEFA. Early in his career Behravesh worked at the Congressional Budget Office and the Federal Reserve. He has been covering the global economy for over 35 years.
Behravesh holds PhD and MA degrees in economics from the University of Pennsylvania, and a BS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has lived in Europe and the Middle East and is fluent in several languages. He travels extensively to Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America.
De Vleesschauwer is Associate Director and Senior Consultant in the Automotive Consulting practice. He is responsible for both business and technical consulting projects in the automotive industry in Europe. He has more than 13 years' experience in the international automotive industry and has contributed to many special projects, including the 42 Volts study (1999), Future Powertrain Technologies (2000), Diesel Particulate Filter (2001), Future Powertrain Technologies (2000, 2004, 2007), Automotive Sourcing Strategies (2002), and Niche Vehicle Market (2003). More recently his work included areas such as biofuels market potential, CO2 forecasting evaluations, and future mobility outlooks.
De Vleesschauwer has an MBA from the Cardiff Business School at the University of Wales.
Egil has more than 30 years experience in the computer, communications, Internet and telematics industries. In the last decade he has focused on connected car technology, auto infotainment, driver assist technologies and mobile devices used in the car. He has extensive experience in technology forecasting, competitive analysis and market forecasting. Egil was co-founder of Telematics Research Group (TRG), which was acquired by iSuppli in July 2008. IHS acquired iSuppli in November 2010.
Prior to this Egil was president and editor of Computer Industry Almanac, which published eight Computer and Internet Industry Almanac reference books. Dr. Juliussen was Chairman and Co-founder of Future Computing, an information service company that was the leading market research and product testing company for the PC industry. Future Computing was sold to McGraw-Hill. He remained president of the company's StoreBoard unit for several years following a private placement. StoreBoard tracked the sales of PC products through computer dealers. StoreBoard was sold to Ziff-Davis, and was later acquired by NPD.
Previously, Dr. Juliussen was with Texas Instruments Inc. where he was a strategic and product planner for microprocessors, minicomputers and PCs. Dr. Juliussen was also employed by Norden, a division of United Technologies, where he designed graphics systems.
He has written columns and papers for computer publications and makes presentations, seminars and lectures in the USA, Asia and Europe. Dr. Juliussen has made over 500 papers, reports and conference presentations in the last 30 years. He received B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from Purdue University. Egil is a native of Norway and is a member of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) and the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
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