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Commodity prices have been on another downward streak for the past several weeks, most notably falling almost 3% during the week of 9 May. The downward pressures were obvious—deepening Eurozone crisis, slower-than-expected Chinese growth, and recent weakness in US labor markets—but the future path for commodity prices is not so clear cut. Many commodity prices are at, or are approaching, production cost levels, so downward pressure should be viewed as limited. Nevertheless, this is not true for all commodities, particularly copper.
During this Webcast, we will present our latest forecast, with a focus on oil and metals. We will outline which material prices stand to lose more ground this summer and which ones will float near production costs until a more certain demand environment emerges.
Please join us on Wednesday, 13 June for a discussion of our Pricing and Purchasing second-quarter 2012 forecast.
Anton is manager of the IHS Steel Service and the ferrous metals industry analyst for the firm's Cost and Industry Service. In addition to producing regular forecasts of steel production, demand, and price, he is also responsible for managing the relationship between IHS and major steel clients, including some of the largest mills in the United States, Japan, and Europe.
He has an economics degree from Florida State University and a law degree from the Marshall-Wythe School of Law at the College of William and Mary.
In addition to his work with IHS Global Insight clients, Mr. Anton regularly provides steel industry analysis to magazines and dailies such as Purchasing Magazine, Steel Business Briefing, American Metal Market, Investor’s Business Daily, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Bloomberg, and Engineering News Record.
Ruchir Kadakia, IHS CERA Director, leads IHS CERA’s Global Oil fundamentals and price outlook analysis. Mr. Kadakia is an expert on global oil market structure and pricing, with a specialty in the interaction of oil fundamentals, macroeconomics, and trading theory. He has worked across a broad range of utilities, hedge funds, and investment banks focusing on research; operations; risk management; finance; and trading in oil, gas, and power. In his current role Mr. Kadakia is responsible for research and reports that constitute IHS CERA’s oil market analysis, including IHS CERA’s World Oil Watch. He holds a BBA from the McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin.
Ruchir Kadakia provides assistance to IHS customers in understanding their energy needs and risks, particularly focusing on oil and product markets. Since joining IHS, his primary focus has been to lead IHS CERA’s Global Oil fundamentals and price outlook analysis. Ruchir is an expert on global oil market structure and pricing, with a specialty in the interaction of oil fundamentals, macroeconomics, and trading theory. Over the last 14 years he has worked across a broad range of utilities, hedge funds, and investment banks focusing on research; operations; risk management; finance; and trading in oil, gas, and power.
Mothersole is a Principal in the Industry Practices Group, where he is the nonferrous metals analyst. He also helps supervise the Pricing and Purchasing Service's price and wage forecasts and the construction cost and operation and maintenance costs forecasts prepared by the group's Power Planner Service. He has a graduate degree in economics from the University of Maryland.
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