The World Economic Outlook — A Synchronized Slowdown or Something Worse?

Nariman Behravesh

Chief Economist, IHS

Dr. Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist of IHS and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates (McGraw-Hill). Directing the entire economic forecasting process at IHS, he is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals, located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa who cover economic, financial and political developments in over 200 countries.

Behravesh is a "Bloomberg Best" and ranked as one of Bloomberg's Top-10 economists for 2009 and 2010. MarketWatch designated IHS Global Insight "Forecaster of the Year" in 2009 and has bestowed several Forecaster of the Month accolades since. He and his team were designated #1 in USA Today's 2004 ranking of top economic forecasters, and in Reuters' 2004 survey of major currency exchange rate forecasters. In 2008, he was ranked #2 by USA Today. In The Wall Street Journal's annual ranking of US forecasters, Behravesh was ranked #3 (out of 56) for 2006 and was the only forecaster to place in the top six for 2003, 2004 and 2006. As the chief economics spokesperson at IHS, Behravesh is quoted extensively in the media on such topics as the outlook for the US and global economies, exchange rates, the budget deficit, the trade deficit, globalization, country risk and sovereign debt crises. He is cited frequently in leading business publications such as the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, the Financial Times, USA Today, Investor's Business Daily, Business Week, Newsweek, Fortune, Forbes and US News and World Report. He also regularly appears on national radio and television programs including BBC World Business Report, NBC Nightly News, CNN Headline News, The News Hour with Jim Lehrer (PBS), Fox News, CNBC, Bloomberg TV and Radio, and All Things Considered and Market Place on National Public Radio.

Behravesh was the host of the PBS television series "Inside the Global Economy." In addition to his recent book, he has authored numerous articles in such publications as European Affairs and Credit Week, co-authored two books-Economics U$A (now in its 8th edition) and Microcomputers, Corporate Planning and Decision Support Systems-and was a contributing author to a book on scenario analysis, entitled Learning From the Future. His op-ed pieces have also appeared in the Financial Times, Newsweek International, London Times and the Boston Globe.

Before joining IHS, Behravesh was chief economist for Global Insight (now an IHS company). Prior to that, he was chief international economist for Standard & Poor's. He also held a number of other positions, including president and CEO of Oxford Economics U.S.A. and Group Senior Vice President of WEFA. Early in his career Behravesh worked at the Congressional Budget Office and the Federal Reserve. He has been covering the global economy for over 35 years.

Behravesh holds PhD and MA degrees in economics from the University of Pennsylvania, and a BS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has lived in Europe and the Middle East and is fluent in several languages. He travels extensively to Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America.

Howard Archer

Chief European & UK Economist, Senior Director, CAFG

Dr. Howard Archer, Chief European and UK Economist of the Country Analysis and Forecasting Group for IHS Global Insight, has 25 years professional experience in economic analysis and forecasting.  Previously, Dr. Archer served as chief European economist for Standard & Poor's DRI, which he had joined in June 2000.

Dr. Archer manages a team of economists responsible for IHS Global Insight European macroeconomic work, and is heavily involved in all aspects of the analysis. He specializes in the UK and Eurozone economies. Dr. Archer deals extensively with the media and is widely quoted in the press, as well as appearing on television and the radio. He was a founder member of the CityA.M. newspaper's shadow Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee and served on it for several years.

Prior to joining DRI, Dr. Archer was a senior economist in NatWest Group's market intelligence department, which he joined in 1987. He was responsible for the overall production of the department's major publication and in charge of the international forecasts. He also wrote briefing papers for the bank's senior executives.

Dr. Archer is the author of several professional and academic articles that have appeared in publications such as the CBI European Business Handbook, as well as in the Accountancy and Treasurer magazines. Archer holds a PhD in multinational businesses from the University of Reading. He also holds an MA from the University of Reading and a BS (Honors) from the University of Surrey.

Charles Movit

Senior Principal Economist

Movit is a Senior Principal Economist with the Global Economics team. He supervises forecasting and analysis of all 30 countries of the Emerging Europe region with a particular focus on Russia, Bulgaria, Romania, Cyprus, and Macedonia. Movit has more than 35 years' forecasting and consulting experience, including nearly 30 years devoted solely to the economies of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union.

He has a graduate degree from the University of Pennsylvania in economics with concentrations in international economics and comparative systems.

Dan Ryan

Research Director, Asia-Pacific

Ryan is Research Director with the Asia-Pacific Group at IHS. He covers Japan, South Korea, and North Korea, and is responsible for risk analysis and economic forecasting. He is also the coordinator for all Country Intelligence databanks. He received his PhD in economics at the University of California, Berkeley.

Todd Lee

Managing Director, Greater China Division

Todd Lee, Managing Director for the Greater China Division in the Country Intelligence Group, oversees all aspects of the macroeconomic forecasts and analysis of the Greater China economy. Dr. Lee is responsible for product development and enhancements to meet the surging market interest in China.

Todd has a PhD in economics from Brown University.

Simona Mocuta

Senior Manager, Asia Pacific Economics

Mocuta is Senior Manager of the Asia Pacific Group at IHS, overseeing the group's analytical content and forecasts for the entire Asia region while retaining direct responsibility for Southeast Asia. She has more than 12 years of experience in economic and risk analysis and macroeconomic forecasting. Mocuta regularly contributes to various special reports and other pan-Asia analytical pieces, and participates in consulting work and pan-IHS initiatives such as the Global Scenario Project. She has a Master's Degree in International Economics from Suffolk University and an undergraduate degree in International Economic Relations from the West University in Timisoara, Romania. She is fluent in English and Romanian and has working knowledge of French.

Jyoti Narasimhan

Research Director, India

Jyoti Narasimhan is Research Director for India in the Country Intelligence Group. She coordinates all aspects of the macroeconomic forecast and analysis of India's economy, and is responsible for developing current and future opportunities relating to India's promising market. She has a graduate degree in economics from The Johns Hopkins University.

Rafael Amiel

Regional Manging Director, Latin America & Caribbean

Amiel is Regional Managing Director for Latin America and the Caribbean in the Country Intelligence Group. He is responsible for coordinating the analysis and forecasts of IHS economists and analysts who cover 42 countries in this region, including the Caribbean islands. He holds a PhD in economics from Florida International University (FIU), where he also served as adjunct professor of economics and was a research associate in FIU's Latin American and Caribbean Center.

Bryan Plamondon

Senior Manager, MENA Economics

Plamondon is Senior Manager for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Economics in the Country Intelligence Group, responsible for overseeing the macroeconomic analyses and forecasts of the 20 countries included in the MENA region. He has a particular focus on Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, and Israel. He has more than 10 years' experience in analyzing and forecasting emerging markets and holds a MS in International Economics from Suffolk University in Boston.

Ronel Oberholzer

Principal Economist, Sub-Saharan Africa Economics

Oberholzer is the South African country economist for IHS. She is responsible for developing and maintaining the IHS South African macro models and developing the economic outlook and risk profile for South Africa. Oberholzer has worked in the macroeconomic and econometric field in both the private and public sector for over 15 years. She specializes in macroeconometric model building as well as macroeconomic analyses. She has a graduate degree in economics from The Orange Freestate University (South Africa).