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Despite a series of global shocks, last year's light vehicle market reported growth of 4.2%, and 2012 demand is on track to outpace that performance. Emerging markets, in particular, continue to shine and offer great opportunities for growth. But, consumer confidence is uneven around the globe and high levels of uncertainty remain:
As part of our fall conference series, please join us in Plymouth, Michigan on September 20 as we examine these issues.
Tim Armstrong, Vice President, Research & Analysis, IHS Automotive
The Global Economic Outlook: A Multi-Speed World
Sara Johnson, Senior Director, Economics and Country Risk, IHS
The Outlook for the Global Light Vehicle Industry
George Magliano, Senior Principal Economist, IHS Automotive
The Outlook for North American Production
Mike Jackson, Senior Manager, Light Vehicle Production – US, IHS Automotive
The Outlook for European Automobiles
Carlos da Silva, Manager, European Light Vehicle Sales Forecast, IHS Automotive
BRICS - Sales and Production Opportunities and Challenges
Mark Fulthorpe, Senior Manager, Global Light Vehicle Production Forecast, IHS Automotive
Beyond BRICS - The Next Wave of Growth Markets
Henner Lehne, Director, Global Light Vehicle Forecasting, IHS Automotive
1:30 pm - 2:05 pm
2:05 pm - 2:40 pm
2:40 pm - 2:55 pm
1:30 pm - 2:05 pm
2:05 pm - 2:40 pm
2:40 pm - 2:55 pm
Brazil - A World of New Powertrain Technology?
Jeff Jowett, Manager - Americas Powertrain Forecasting, IHS Automotive
Electrification in North America: Are the Stars Aligning or Are We Headed for a Black Hole?
Devin Lindsay, Senior Analyst II, North America Powertrain, IHS Automotive
Tim Armstrong, Vice President of IHS Automotive, is responsible for all automotive research and analysis at IHS. His team comprises 140 automotive analysts who are present in 20 locations worldwide and cover practically all aspects of industry automotive research including sales, production, powertrain technology and components and dealer network planning, analysis and data.
Mr. Armstrong has over 20 years experience in forecasting and analysis, specializing in the analysis of emerging markets. From 1989 to 1996, he was a senior commodities analyst for Commodities Research Unit in London. Since joining DRI in 1996 he has headed automotive forecasting research for Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa. More recently he has been involved with the management and development of the group’s research capabilities through the acquisition, integration and growth of CSM Worldwide, iSuppli, IMS, Supplier Business and BDW. These companies, together with the former Global Insight, have come together to form IHS Automotive.
Educated in Australia, Tim holds a Master of Economics degree from the University of Western Australia and Bachelor's degrees in economics and finance from Murdoch University and Curtin University. His spoken languages include English and French.
Sara Johnson is Senior Research Director of Global Economics with IHS Global Insight. In this role, she helps clients assess worldwide business and financial opportunities and risks. Ms. Johnson co-authors the Global Executive Summary, manages the Executive Strategy Council and presents the IHS economic outlook to international conferences. She was previously North American Research Director and Chief Regional Economist with Standard & Poor’s DRI, a predecessor of IHS Global Insight.
Ms. Johnson holds a BA in economics and mathematics from Wellesley College and an MA in economics from Harvard University with concentrations in finance and macroeconomic theory.
Ms. Johnson is a director of the NABE Foundation and a former director of the National Association for Business Economics. She is a member of The Boston Economic Club and American Economic Association.
Mike Jackson directs the North American Vehicle Production forecasting practice at IHS Automotive. Jackson is a global product planning and strategy expert in the automotive space and conducts extensive executive consultation at all levels of the supply chain with a deep knowledge of the industry and global markets. Jackson assists a diverse client base of manufacturers, suppliers, financial firms and others to anticipate market dynamics to optimize planning, mitigate risk and achieve growth objectives.
Jackson is a highly sought after public speaker, regularly presenting to executive leadership teams and industry conferences throughout North America and around the world in Japan, Korea and Western Europe. Jackson also serves as a Subject Matter Expert (SME) within the consulting team, making crucial contributions to client engagements involving future product assessments and advanced technologies. He is frequently quoted by leading print, radio and television media on the industry and the light vehicle production environment.
Prior to IHS Automotive (CSM Worldwide), Jackson was Lead Marketing Strategist for the North American operations of electrical system supplier Alcoa Fujikura, Ltd. (AFL) and had served as Marketing Strategist for French-based automotive interior supplier, Faurecia. Jackson gained vital international experience, living and working in Germany for two years learning to speak the language.
Jackson holds a degree in management strategy from Eastern Michigan University and also earned his M.B.A. in international marketing from Wayne State University.
Mark Fulthorpe joined the CSM Worldwide European staff in 1999 as Manager of European Forecast Services. At IHS Automotive he is responsible for global light vehicle production forecasting, future product program intelligence, platform strategies and market analysis. Before joining CSM, Mr. Fulthorpe spent three years as a Business Analyst with Capita Business Services where he was part of a business development team responsible for the supply of data and data services to UK-based vehicle manufacturers and importers.
Mark has spent most of his career in the automotive sector. Prior to Capita, he worked as a Senior Associate within the DRI/McGraw-Hill Global Automotive Group, initially in component and powertrain research, and later within the forecasting group working on light vehicle forecasts covering the former Soviet Union. He also spent time as a Research Executive with MIL Motoring Research (NOP Automotive) where he ran a Customer Satisfaction program across Western Europe on behalf of Jaguar Cars. He began his career at the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), reporting UK sales and registration data.
Mark holds an honours degree in English Literature from the University of London, Goldsmiths College.
Henner Lehne, Director of IHS Automotive Light Vehicle Forecasting group, is responsible for managing the Light Vehicle Sales and Production Forecast service globally and leading an experienced analyst team in each of the key automotive regions around the world.
Mr. Lehne’s expertise covers the key areas of the global automotive industry with special focus on Corporate Strategy, R&D, Manufacturing, Product Planning and Marketing and Sales. He maintains large teams onsite in the hot spots of the global automotive industry, enabling him to head the leading forecasting service in the automotive arena.
In early 2005, Mr. Lehne joined CSM Worldwide GmbH in Germany as a market Analyst, forecasting light vehicle sales in Europe. In 2007 he was promoted to become the Manager of European Advisory Services. During his advisory time, he acquired and managed European centric consulting projects for CSM and was then appointed to be the global director for the light vehicle sales forecast service. After the merger of CSM and Global Insight into IHS Automotive in March 2010, Mr. Lehne maintained his position coordinating the joint product teams and joint services for this new entity and now also manages the global Light Vehicle Production team. Prior to joining CSM Worldwide, Mr. Lehne worked in the central marketing department at Porsche AG in Stuttgart, Germany.
Michael Robinet, Managing Director of IHS Automotive Consulting, is a leader and innovator in global production forecasting, analyzing vehicle/component sourcing and production strategies to serve OEM, supplier, financial and government entities throughout the industry. Mr. Robinet’s field of expertise includes global vehicle product and capacity forecasting, future product program intelligence, platform consolidation and globalization trends, trade flow/sourcing strategies, and OEM footprint/logistics trends. In his previous role as Director of IHS Automotive Global Production Forecasts, Mr. Robinet helped designed the world’s first contiguous database designed to forecast sales, production, and sourcing linkages for the global automotive industry.
Mr. Robinet has over two decades of experience in automotive forecasting, strategic analysis and manufacturing finance. Before joining IHS, he was Vice President, Global Vehicle Forecasts at CSM Worldwide. He worked at various research companies and was schooled in finance at a major tier one supplier. He has also been widely quoted in worldwide print, radio and TV media on a variety of industry trends and topics focused on the global automotive industry, and he presents regularly at global OEM and supplier conferences and symposiums.
Mr. Robinet holds an undergraduate degree in international and developmental economics and an MBA, both from the University of Windsor, Canada. He is a member of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) and a member of the Automotive Press Association (APA). Michael is a board member of the Society of Automotive Analysts (SAA), founding director of the Canada-US Business Association (CUSBA), a member of the Detroit Economic Club (DEC) as well as a participant on the Canadian Automotive Partnership Council's (CAPC) Trade and Infrastructure Committee.
Andrew Fulbrook is responsible for the management of the IHS Automotive global powertrain team and forecasts, future global product program intelligence and market analysis, future technologies and trends assessments, as well as qualitative consulting activities surrounding powertrain electrification.
Prior to joining IHS Automotive, Fulbrook worked extensively in the area of European Powertrain and component research, providing information to the automotive industry on trends and analysis. He is widely quoted in European automotive publications and has written multiple editorial contributions. Fulbrook holds a Higher National Diploma with Merit in Mechatronics including Higher Mathematics, as well as a National Diploma in Engineering Science, both from Brooklands Engineering faculty, Surrey, England.
Jeff Jowett is responsible for North and South American powertrain production forecasting, future product program intelligence and market analysis. Prior to joining IHS Automotive, Jowett spent 14 years at Ford Motor Company as a cylinder-block and head-casting process engineer and, most recently, worked in the powertrain competitive analysis and strategy group. Jowett holds a BS in Metallurgical Engineering from Western Michigan University and an MBA from the University of Michigan.
Egil has more than 30 years experience in the computer, communications, Internet and telematics industries. In the last decade he has focused on connected car technology, auto infotainment, driver assist technologies and mobile devices used in the car. He has extensive experience in technology forecasting, competitive analysis and market forecasting. Egil was co-founder of Telematics Research Group (TRG), which was acquired by iSuppli in July 2008. IHS acquired iSuppli in November 2010.
Prior to this Egil was president and editor of Computer Industry Almanac, which published eight Computer and Internet Industry Almanac reference books. Dr. Juliussen was Chairman and Co-founder of Future Computing, an information service company that was the leading market research and product testing company for the PC industry. Future Computing was sold to McGraw-Hill. He remained president of the company's StoreBoard unit for several years following a private placement. StoreBoard tracked the sales of PC products through computer dealers. StoreBoard was sold to Ziff-Davis, and was later acquired by NPD.
Previously, Dr. Juliussen was with Texas Instruments Inc. where he was a strategic and product planner for microprocessors, minicomputers and PCs. Dr. Juliussen was also employed by Norden, a division of United Technologies, where he designed graphics systems.
He has written columns and papers for computer publications and makes presentations, seminars and lectures in the USA, Asia and Europe. Dr. Juliussen has made over 500 papers, reports and conference presentations in the last 30 years. He received B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from Purdue University. Egil is a native of Norway and is a member of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) and the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Carlos Da Silva is manager for European Vehicle Sales forecasts in the IHS Automotive Group. He is responsible for a team of analysts, all based in Europe, which develop sales forecasts for the region’s auto markets and provide support to clients all over the world.
Carlos Da Silva has over 15 years experience in the automotive industry. Prior to joining IHS Automotive, he worked for Renault-Nissan where he embraced various functions, notably in the product planning department.
Educated in France, he holds a degree in marketing from Ecole Supérieure de Commerce de Rouen, France. His spoken languages include English, French, Portuguese and Spanish.
The Inn at St. John's
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