IHS Automotive Scenarios Advisory Service

The Automotive Scenarios Advisory Service helps organizations prepare for the future by examining the key forces that will shape the global business environment in the years ahead, and the possible implications for the automotive industry.

At the heart of the service is a set of three distinct scenarios called the Global Scenarios Framework. Each scenario provides a qualitative narrative and quantitative analyses addressing possible futures for economic growth and policy, politics, trade, security, technology, the environment, and energy on the world stage to 2030.

Through ongoing quarterly updates, this service helps you:

• Develop strategies 
• Test specific decisions against alternative futures 
• Monitor signposts to scenario changes
• Identify opportunities for strategic advantage

Drawing on the unrivaled regional and industry expertise and proprietary data of IHS, the service offers an unprecedented outlook on how the global business environment could develop over time.

Benefits:

• Enhance the analytical rigor of your planning, to create robust, flexible strategies that will withstand dramatically different conditions such as changing sales or production trends or powertrain mixes
• Identify the future risks and rewards of entering a new sector, a new region or investing in new technologies particularly as they relate to powertrains
• Understand the interdependencies of macro-economic drivers, and the automotive and energy industries
• Harness the collective insight and capabilities of IHS in a cost-effective format
• Exchange perspectives and insights with our experts and your peers at our regular workshops
• Benchmark strategic assumptions
• Follow global long-term megatrends that will impact your organization's future environment
• Complement your existing macroeconomic forecasts by identifying game changers and plans B and C driven by a range of factors
• Avoid future pitfalls by recognizing the early signposts that indicate a need for strategic review
• Use qualitative and quantitative outputs as valuable inputs into your planning process
• Use the service as a tool to quantify and explain risks to executives
• More effectively assess strategies and investment portfolios in light of the range of futures that could emerge

Option 1: Advisory Service

• Quantitative:
  • Detailed sets of historical and projected data points (to 2030) by scenario
  • Updates issued every first and third quarter of the calendar year
  • Downloadable in Excel format
• Qualitative:
  • Written reports covering the Global Framework and Automotive Scenario storylines 
  • Semiannual updates to scenario storylines and monitoring of signposts
  • Updates issued every second and fourth quarter of the calendar year
  • Delivered via web conference and PowerPoint
• Two special reports addressing topics determined by IHS Automotive Scenarios clients as having significant implications for automotive markets—delivered biannually
• Invitations for two participants to attend annual workshops
• Online access to research deliverables
• Access to IHS Global Scenarios researchers

Option 2: Customized Services

Please speak to your account manager about customized and on-site services that can be arranged to support your membership.

Global Scenarios Framework

Key Deliverables:

Contains qualitative analysis and data sets for each of our three scenarios: Global Redesign, Meta and Vortex

Dataset:
(Scope: global, high-level regional, sector, and major country)

• CO₂ Prices 
• Crude Oil Prices 
• Population 
• Macroeconomic Data

Qualitative Analysis:
(Scope: global, high-level regional, sector, and major country)

• Geopolitics and Security 
• Environment and Climate Change Policy 
• Trade Policy 
• Demographics 
• Macroeconomics 
• Technology 
• Energy

Automotive Scenarios

Key Deliverables:

Contains qualitative analysis and data sets for each of our three scenarios: Global Redesign, Meta and Vortex

Dataset:
(Scope: global, in-depth regional, sector, and major country for light duty vehicles)

• Passenger and light commercial vehicle sales forecast by region and major country to 2030 by vehicle powertrain (various forms of gasoline, diesel, PHEVs, EVs, NGVs, and 3 levels of hybrids) 
• Fuel demand by fuel type (gasoline, diesel, electricity, natural gas, ethanol, biodiesel) 
• Total vehicle miles traveled by region and major country

Qualitative Analysis:
(Scope: global, in-depth regional, sector, and major country for Light Vehicles)

• Summary of Global Trends 
• Impact on Automotive Market 
• Powertrain Evolution 
• Energy Demand/Emissions

The IHS Automotive Scenarios Advisory Service draws from the combined insight and expertise of IHS to provide a broad-based, in-depth understanding of the key issues and challenges facing the global automotive industry.

• Tiffany Groode, Ph.D Director, Transportation Energy, IHS CERA
• Nigel Griffiths, Chief Automotive Economist, IHS Automotive
• Tom De Vleesschauwer, Director, IHS Automotive Consulting
• Aaron Brady, Director, IHS CERA
• Phil Gott, Managing Director, IHS Automotive Consulting
• James Burkhard, Managing Director, IHS CERA
• Bill Veno, Senior Director of Research, IHS CERA 

Lead Advisors

• Daniel Yergin, IHS CERA Chairman
• Nariman Behravesh, IHS Chief Economist